MSFT
Forecast · 20-day horizon · 2026-05-31 · back
Relative strength
+1.45%
vs basket · rank #7
Current
$450.24
Forecast (median)
$422.17
raw / biased reference
LOWoutperform
Forecast cone
historymedian forecast50% band80% band
Shaded fan = range across 30 sampled futures. Wide cone = high uncertainty.
Why this rank
MSFT's raw forecast is -6.24%, and the watchlist basket mean is -7.69%. Kronos is broadly bearish on US equities, so we don't trade raw direction — we trade who beats the pack. Subtracting the basket mean gives a relative strength of +1.45%, meaning MSFT is expected to outperform the watchlist (rank #7 of 15).
Path agreement: +80.00% — how much the 30 sampled futures agree on direction. Lower agreement means a wider, less certain cone.
Past predictions
| Date | Predicted rel | Actual rel | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | +1.45% | — | — |
| 2026-05-29 | +2.79% | — | — |