XLE
Forecast · 20-day horizon · 2026-05-31 · back
Relative strength
-1.75%
vs basket · rank #9
Current
$56.29
Forecast (median)
$50.98
raw / biased reference
LOWunderperform
Forecast cone
historymedian forecast50% band80% band
Shaded fan = range across 30 sampled futures. Wide cone = high uncertainty.
Why this rank
XLE's raw forecast is -9.43%, and the watchlist basket mean is -7.69%. Kronos is broadly bearish on US equities, so we don't trade raw direction — we trade who beats the pack. Subtracting the basket mean gives a relative strength of -1.75%, meaning XLE is expected to underperform the watchlist (rank #9 of 15).
Path agreement: +100.00% — how much the 30 sampled futures agree on direction. Lower agreement means a wider, less certain cone.
Past predictions
| Date | Predicted rel | Actual rel | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | -1.75% | — | — |
| 2026-05-29 | -3.78% | — | — |